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Insights > On Global Markets > AI Risks

AI Risks

On Global Markets, 25 September 2026.
Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets, Chicago Booth
Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets, Chicago Booth

Talk of AI's "P(doom)" has gone mainstream, but the worry in markets is more earthly: overvaluation, concentration and circular financing. Goldman Sachs projects AI capital spending rising from 1.8% of US GDP in 2026 to 2.8% in 2028.

The Finance Panel agreed, decisively, that the AI boom has concentrated tail risk - 94% agreement on a confidence-weighted basis, one of the most one-sided polls the panel has produced. 69% agreed that vendor financing from chipmakers adds risk.

Read the full column on the Clark Center Forum

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